26105 · 2026-08-16 00:45 · Finished
乌德勒支 vs 阿尔克马AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-4（负）
AI Lean
乌德勒支 win 52.5%
Confidence 25.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 52.5% | 20.7% | 26.8% | 胜 | 25.7% |
| 14-Match | 52.5% | 20.7% | 26.8% | 胜 | 25.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.026
Draw
0.025
Away
0.038
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.91 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.84 | — |
| Away | 2.00 | 1.30 | 3.73 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 乌德勒支 vs 阿尔克马?
The AI model leans 乌德勒支 win at 52.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 52.5%, draw 20.7%, away 26.8%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 00:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.