26105 · 2026-08-15 22:30 · Finished
威廉二世 vs 奈梅亨AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-4（负）
AI Lean
威廉二世 win 41.1%
Confidence 3.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 41.1% | 21.2% | 37.6% | 胜 | 3.5% |
| 14-Match | 41.1% | 21.2% | 37.6% | 胜 | 3.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.056
Draw
0.044
Away
0.038
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.43 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.72 | — |
| Away | 3.84 | 2.50 | 2.66 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 威廉二世 vs 奈梅亨?
The AI model leans 威廉二世 win at 41.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 41.1%, draw 21.2%, away 37.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-15 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.