26104 · 2026-08-15 02:00 · Finished
特尔斯达 vs 鹿特丹AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-3（负）
AI Lean
特尔斯达 win 45.4%
Confidence 17.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 45.4% | 26.8% | 27.8% | 胜 | 17.6% |
| 14-Match | 45.4% | 26.8% | 27.8% | 胜 | 17.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.036
Draw
0.033
Away
0.045
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.20 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.74 | — |
| Away | 3.09 | 2.01 | 3.59 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 特尔斯达 vs 鹿特丹?
The AI model leans 特尔斯达 win at 45.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 45.4%, draw 26.8%, away 27.8%. Kickoff 2026-08-15 02:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.