周日015 · 2026-08-09 22:45 · Finished
海伦芬 vs 特温特AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
特温特 win 40.6%
Confidence 9.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 28.2% | 31.2% | 40.6% | 负 | 9.4% |
| 14-Match | 28.2% | 31.2% | 40.6% | 负 | 9.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.045
Draw
0.030
Away
0.027
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 1.90 | 3.54 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.21 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.46 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 海伦芬 vs 特温特?
The AI model leans 特温特 win at 40.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 28.2%, draw 31.2%, away 40.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 22:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.