周日010 · 2026-08-09 20:30 · Finished
格罗宁根 vs 乌德勒支AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
格罗宁根 win 37.4%
Confidence 1.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 37.4% | 26.5% | 36.1% | 胜 | 1.3% |
| 14-Match | 37.4% | 26.5% | 36.1% | 胜 | 1.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.025
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 2.15 | 2.68 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.77 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.77 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 格罗宁根 vs 乌德勒支?
The AI model leans 格罗宁根 win at 37.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 37.4%, draw 26.5%, away 36.1%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 20:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.