26101 · 2026-08-09 03:00 · Finished
阿尔克马 vs 海牙AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
阿尔克马 win 57.3%
Confidence 34.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 57.3% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 胜 | 34.2% |
| 14-Match | 57.3% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 胜 | 34.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.047
Away
0.080
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 1.74 | 1.74 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.13 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.31 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿尔克马 vs 海牙?
The AI model leans 阿尔克马 win at 57.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 57.3%, draw 19.5%, away 23.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.