26101 · 2026-08-09 00:45 · Finished
前进之鹰 vs 威廉二世AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-1（胜）
AI Lean
前进之鹰 win 48.3%
Confidence 19.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 48.3% | 23.1% | 28.7% | 胜 | 19.6% |
| 14-Match | 48.3% | 23.1% | 28.7% | 胜 | 19.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.036
Away
0.048
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 1.69 | 2.07 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.34 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.49 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 前进之鹰 vs 威廉二世?
The AI model leans 前进之鹰 win at 48.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 48.3%, draw 23.1%, away 28.7%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 00:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.