26101 · 2026-08-08 22:30 · Finished
奈梅亨 vs 特尔斯达AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
奈梅亨 win 49.4%
Confidence 20.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 49.4% | 22.1% | 28.6% | 胜 | 20.8% |
| 14-Match | 49.4% | 22.1% | 28.6% | 胜 | 20.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.034
Away
0.043
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.03 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.54 | — |
| Away | 3.41 | 2.22 | 3.50 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 奈梅亨 vs 特尔斯达?
The AI model leans 奈梅亨 win at 49.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 49.4%, draw 22.1%, away 28.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-08 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.