周日019 · 2026-09-20 23:15 · Finished
尼斯 vs 里尔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
里尔 win 39.7%
Confidence 8.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 29.3% | 31.0% | 39.7% | 负 | 8.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.046
Draw
0.023
Away
0.040
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.23 | 2.75 | 3.41 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.23 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.52 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 尼斯 vs 里尔?
The AI model leans 里尔 win at 39.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 29.3%, draw 31.0%, away 39.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 23:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.