26129 · 2026-09-19 02:45 · Finished
摩纳哥 vs 朗斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
Draw 36.7%
Confidence 2.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 34.8% | 36.7% | 28.5% | 平 | 2.0% |
| 14-Match | 34.8% | 36.7% | 28.5% | 平 | 2.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.027
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 1.10 | 2.88 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.72 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.51 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 摩纳哥 vs 朗斯?
The AI model leans Draw at 36.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 34.8%, draw 36.7%, away 28.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.