周日027 · 2026-09-21 02:45 · Finished
马赛 vs 巴黎圣曼AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
巴黎圣曼 win 66.3%
Confidence 46.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 14.1% | 19.6% | 66.3% | 负 | 46.7% |
| 14-Match | 14.1% | 19.6% | 66.3% | 负 | 46.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.065
Draw
0.031
Away
0.030
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 7.07 | — |
| Draw | 4.46 | 2.90 | 5.10 | — |
| Away | — | — | 1.51 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 马赛 vs 巴黎圣曼?
The AI model leans 巴黎圣曼 win at 66.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 14.1%, draw 19.6%, away 66.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-21 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.