26130 · 2026-09-20 02:45 · Finished
里昂 vs 雷恩AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-0（胜）
AI Lean
里昂 win 53.1%
Confidence 27.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 53.1% | 20.9% | 25.9% | 胜 | 27.2% |
| 14-Match | 53.1% | 20.9% | 25.9% | 胜 | 27.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.038
Draw
0.024
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 1.31 | 1.88 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.78 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.85 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 里昂 vs 雷恩?
The AI model leans 里昂 win at 53.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 53.1%, draw 20.9%, away 25.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.