26122 · 2026-09-12 02:45 · Finished
雷恩 vs 马赛AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
雷恩 win 50.7%
Confidence 21.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 50.7% | 20.3% | 29.0% | 胜 | 21.7% |
| 14-Match | 50.7% | 20.3% | 29.0% | 胜 | 21.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.026
Draw
0.030
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 1.29 | 1.97 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.92 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.45 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 雷恩 vs 马赛?
The AI model leans 雷恩 win at 50.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 50.7%, draw 20.3%, away 29.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.