26124 · 2026-09-13 21:00 · Finished
里尔 vs 特鲁瓦AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
里尔 win 47.4%
Confidence 17.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 47.4% | 22.6% | 30.0% | 胜 | 17.3% |
| 14-Match | 47.4% | 22.6% | 30.0% | 胜 | 17.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.034
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 1.43 | 2.11 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.43 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.33 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 里尔 vs 特鲁瓦?
The AI model leans 里尔 win at 47.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 47.4%, draw 22.6%, away 30.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-13 21:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.