26116 · 2026-09-04 02:45
图卢兹 vs 里尔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
里尔 win 44.4%
Confidence 15.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-Match | 29.2% | 26.4% | 44.4% | 负 | 15.2% |
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 0.94 | 3.43 | — |
| Draw | 11.35 | 7.38 | 3.78 | +EV |
| Away | 4.45 | 2.89 | 2.25 | +EV |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 图卢兹 vs 里尔?
The AI model leans 里尔 win at 44.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 29.2%, draw 26.4%, away 44.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-04 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.