周四005 · 2026-09-04 02:45 · Finished
图卢兹 vs 里尔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
里尔 win 39.2%
Confidence 5.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 27.1% | 33.7% | 39.2% | 负 | 5.5% |
| 14-Match | 27.1% | 33.7% | 39.2% | 负 | 5.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.041
Draw
0.021
Away
0.032
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.83 | 3.79 | 3.69 | +EV |
| Draw | 3.84 | 2.50 | 2.97 | — |
| Away | 1.75 | 1.14 | 2.55 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 图卢兹 vs 里尔?
The AI model leans 里尔 win at 39.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 27.1%, draw 33.7%, away 39.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-04 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.