26117 · 2026-09-05 03:05 · Finished
巴黎圣曼 vs 摩纳哥AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
巴黎圣曼 win 51.8%
Confidence 27.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 51.8% | 23.6% | 24.6% | 胜 | 27.2% |
| 14-Match | 51.8% | 23.6% | 24.6% | 胜 | 27.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.032
Away
0.068
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.93 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.23 | — |
| Away | 3.27 | 2.13 | 4.07 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 巴黎圣曼 vs 摩纳哥?
The AI model leans 巴黎圣曼 win at 51.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 51.8%, draw 23.6%, away 24.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 03:05.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.