26117 · 2026-09-05 01:00 · Finished
里昂 vs 欧塞尔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
里昂 win 38.9%
Confidence 6.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 38.9% | 29.1% | 32.0% | 胜 | 6.9% |
| 14-Match | 38.9% | 29.1% | 32.0% | 胜 | 6.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.027
Away
0.056
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 1.31 | 2.57 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.44 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.13 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 里昂 vs 欧塞尔?
The AI model leans 里昂 win at 38.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 38.9%, draw 29.1%, away 32.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.