26130 · 2026-09-20 00:00 · Finished
罗马 vs 国际米兰AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
罗马 win 38.4%
Confidence 2.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 38.4% | 25.8% | 35.9% | 胜 | 2.5% |
| 14-Match | 38.4% | 25.8% | 35.9% | 胜 | 2.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.041
Draw
0.034
Away
0.041
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.61 | — |
| Draw | 3.24 | 2.11 | 3.88 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.79 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 罗马 vs 国际米兰?
The AI model leans 罗马 win at 38.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 38.4%, draw 25.8%, away 35.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.