周日013 · 2026-09-20 21:00 · Finished
帕尔马 vs 热那亚AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
Draw 45.1%
Confidence 16.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 28.4% | 45.1% | 26.5% | 平 | 16.7% |
| 14-Match | 28.4% | 45.1% | 26.5% | 平 | 16.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.041
Draw
0.031
Away
0.034
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 1.73 | 3.52 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.22 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.78 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 帕尔马 vs 热那亚?
The AI model leans Draw at 45.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 28.4%, draw 45.1%, away 26.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 21:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.