26129 · 2026-09-19 02:45 · Finished
蒙扎 vs 萨索洛AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
蒙扎 win 53.6%
Confidence 24.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 53.6% | 17.6% | 28.8% | 胜 | 24.8% |
| 14-Match | 53.6% | 17.6% | 28.8% | 胜 | 24.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.031
Away
0.043
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 2.10 | 1.87 | +EV |
| Draw | — | — | 5.67 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.47 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 蒙扎 vs 萨索洛?
The AI model leans 蒙扎 win at 53.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 53.6%, draw 17.6%, away 28.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.