周日006 · 2026-09-20 18:30 · Finished
佛罗伦萨 vs 那不勒斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
那不勒斯 win 38.7%
Confidence 6.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 29.4% | 31.9% | 38.7% | 负 | 6.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.036
Draw
0.028
Away
0.034
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.41 | — |
| Draw | 3.17 | 2.06 | 3.13 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.58 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 佛罗伦萨 vs 那不勒斯?
The AI model leans 那不勒斯 win at 38.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 29.4%, draw 31.9%, away 38.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.