26122 · 2026-09-12 02:45 · Finished
威尼斯 vs 佛罗伦萨AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-4（负）
AI Lean
威尼斯 win 44.6%
Confidence 13.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 44.6% | 24.1% | 31.3% | 胜 | 13.3% |
| 14-Match | 44.6% | 24.1% | 31.3% | 胜 | 13.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.033
Away
0.033
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.24 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.15 | — |
| Away | 2.09 | 1.36 | 3.19 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 威尼斯 vs 佛罗伦萨?
The AI model leans 威尼斯 win at 44.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 44.6%, draw 24.1%, away 31.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.