26124 · 2026-09-14 00:00 · Finished
那不勒斯 vs 博洛尼亚AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
那不勒斯 win 49.1%
Confidence 23.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 49.1% | 25.4% | 25.5% | 胜 | 23.5% |
| 14-Match | 49.1% | 25.4% | 25.5% | 胜 | 23.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.028
Away
0.046
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.04 | — |
| Draw | 3.33 | 2.16 | 3.93 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.92 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 那不勒斯 vs 博洛尼亚?
The AI model leans 那不勒斯 win at 49.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 49.1%, draw 25.4%, away 25.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-14 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.