26124 · 2026-09-13 21:00 · Finished
莱切 vs 蒙扎AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
蒙扎 win 38.8%
Confidence 7.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 29.3% | 31.8% | 38.8% | 负 | 7.0% |
| 14-Match | 29.3% | 31.8% | 38.8% | 负 | 7.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.027
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 2.00 | 3.41 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.14 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.58 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 莱切 vs 蒙扎?
The AI model leans 蒙扎 win at 38.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 29.3%, draw 31.8%, away 38.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-13 21:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.