周六006 · 2026-09-12 21:00 · Finished
热那亚 vs 弗洛西诺内AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
热那亚 win 40.1%
Confidence 1.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 40.1% | 20.9% | 39.0% | 胜 | 1.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.034
Draw
0.025
Away
0.043
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.49 | — |
| Draw | 3.69 | 2.40 | 4.79 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.56 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 热那亚 vs 弗洛西诺内?
The AI model leans 热那亚 win at 40.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.1%, draw 20.9%, away 39.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 21:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.