周日010 · 2026-09-06 21:00 · Finished
帕尔马 vs 蒙扎AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
蒙扎 win 43.3%
Confidence 11.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 24.4% | 32.3% | 43.3% | 负 | 11.0% |
| 14-Match | 24.4% | 32.3% | 43.3% | 负 | 11.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.047
Draw
0.027
Away
0.030
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.10 | — |
| Draw | 2.70 | 1.76 | 3.10 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.31 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 帕尔马 vs 蒙扎?
The AI model leans 蒙扎 win at 43.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 24.4%, draw 32.3%, away 43.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-06 21:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.