26118 · 2026-09-06 00:00 · Finished
国际米兰 vs 那不勒斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
国际米兰 win 44.9%
Confidence 15.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 44.9% | 25.1% | 29.9% | 胜 | 15.0% |
| 14-Match | 44.9% | 25.1% | 29.9% | 胜 | 15.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.034
Draw
0.027
Away
0.049
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.23 | — |
| Draw | 3.33 | 2.16 | 3.98 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.34 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 国际米兰 vs 那不勒斯?
The AI model leans 国际米兰 win at 44.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 44.9%, draw 25.1%, away 29.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-06 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.