26117 · 2026-09-05 02:45 · Finished
热那亚 vs 科莫AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-4（负）
AI Lean
科莫 win 62.5%
Confidence 36.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 11.4% | 26.1% | 62.5% | 负 | 36.3% |
| 14-Match | 11.4% | 26.1% | 62.5% | 负 | 36.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.057
Draw
0.027
Away
0.035
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 8.76 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.83 | — |
| Away | 3.54 | 2.30 | 1.60 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 热那亚 vs 科莫?
The AI model leans 科莫 win at 62.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 11.4%, draw 26.1%, away 62.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.