周一001 · 2026-09-08 00:30 · Finished
卡利亚里 vs 莱切AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
卡利亚里 win 45.7%
Confidence 15.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 45.7% | 24.1% | 30.3% | 胜 | 15.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.034
Draw
0.023
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 1.38 | 2.19 | — |
| Draw | 3.06 | 1.99 | 4.16 | — |
| Away | 4.88 | 3.17 | 3.30 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 卡利亚里 vs 莱切?
The AI model leans 卡利亚里 win at 45.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 45.7%, draw 24.1%, away 30.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-08 00:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.