周三001 · 2026-08-13 03:00 · Finished
巴黎圣曼 vs 维拉AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
巴黎圣曼 win 50.4%
Confidence 18.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 50.4% | 17.4% | 32.2% | 胜 | 18.1% |
| 14-Match | 50.4% | 17.4% | 32.2% | 胜 | 18.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.035
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.99 | — |
| Draw | 3.64 | 2.37 | 5.74 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.10 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 巴黎圣曼 vs 维拉?
The AI model leans 巴黎圣曼 win at 50.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 50.4%, draw 17.4%, away 32.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-13 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.