周日013 · 2026-08-03 05:00 · Finished
迈拉索尔 vs 格雷米奥AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
迈拉索尔 win 78.3%
Confidence 65.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 78.3% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 胜 | 65.7% |
| 14-Match | 78.3% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 胜 | 65.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.026
Draw
0.039
Away
0.039
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.28 | — |
| Draw | 3.20 | 2.08 | 7.94 | — |
| Away | — | — | 11.00 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 迈拉索尔 vs 格雷米奥?
The AI model leans 迈拉索尔 win at 78.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 78.3%, draw 12.6%, away 9.1%. Kickoff 2026-08-03 05:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.