周三015 · 2026-09-10 08:30 · Finished
芝加哥火焰 vs 迈阿密国际AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
芝加哥火焰 win 40.8%
Confidence 10.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 40.8% | 28.4% | 30.8% | 胜 | 10.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.025
Draw
0.026
Away
0.032
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.45 | — |
| Draw | 6.31 | 4.10 | 3.52 | +EV |
| Away | — | — | 3.25 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 芝加哥火焰 vs 迈阿密国际?
The AI model leans 芝加哥火焰 win at 40.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.8%, draw 28.4%, away 30.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-10 08:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.