周日028 · 2026-08-17 06:00 · Finished
纽约城 vs 费城联合AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-3（负）
AI Lean
纽约城 win 45.3%
Confidence 16.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 45.3% | 25.8% | 28.9% | 胜 | 16.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.047
Draw
0.037
Away
0.058
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.21 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.88 | — |
| Away | 2.55 | 1.66 | 3.46 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 纽约城 vs 费城联合?
The AI model leans 纽约城 win at 45.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 45.3%, draw 25.8%, away 28.9%. Kickoff 2026-08-17 06:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.