周三206 · 2026-07-23 07:30 · Finished
迈阿密国际 vs 芝加哥火焰AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
迈阿密国际 win 56.1%
Confidence 32.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 56.1% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 胜 | 32.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.028
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 1.77 | 1.78 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.01 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.19 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 迈阿密国际 vs 芝加哥火焰?
The AI model leans 迈阿密国际 win at 56.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 56.1%, draw 20.0%, away 23.9%. Kickoff 2026-07-23 07:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.