周六003 · 2026-09-19 18:00 · Finished
安养FC vs 蔚山现代AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
蔚山现代 win 43.4%
Confidence 12.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 30.9% | 25.7% | 43.4% | 负 | 12.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.053
Draw
0.034
Away
0.025
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.67 | 3.04 | 3.24 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.89 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.30 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 安养FC vs 蔚山现代?
The AI model leans 蔚山现代 win at 43.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 30.9%, draw 25.7%, away 43.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 18:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.