周二001 · 2026-09-08 18:30 · Finished
蔚山现代 vs 首尔FCAI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
首尔FC win 49.7%
Confidence 23.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 24.3% | 26.0% | 49.7% | 负 | 23.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.051
Draw
0.035
Away
0.024
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 2.24 | 4.12 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.85 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.01 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 蔚山现代 vs 首尔FC?
The AI model leans 首尔FC win at 49.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 24.3%, draw 26.0%, away 49.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-08 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.