周日001 · 2026-08-02 18:30 · Finished
蔚山现代 vs 安养FCAI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
蔚山现代 win 39.4%
Confidence 4.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 39.4% | 25.3% | 35.3% | 胜 | 4.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.028
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 1.49 | 2.54 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.95 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.83 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 蔚山现代 vs 安养FC?
The AI model leans 蔚山现代 win at 39.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 39.4%, draw 25.3%, away 35.3%. Kickoff 2026-08-02 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.