周日003 · 2026-08-02 18:30 · Finished
大田市民 vs 光州FCAI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
大田市民 win 55.4%
Confidence 31.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 55.4% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 胜 | 31.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.028
Draw
0.037
Away
0.060
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 1.79 | 1.80 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.14 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.90 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 大田市民 vs 光州FC?
The AI model leans 大田市民 win at 55.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 55.4%, draw 24.2%, away 20.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-02 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.