周日203 · 2026-07-26 18:30 · Finished
光州FC vs 济州联AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
济州联 win 45.6%
Confidence 16.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 25.4% | 28.9% | 45.6% | 负 | 16.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.045
Draw
0.034
Away
0.024
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.94 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.45 | — |
| Away | 2.65 | 1.72 | 2.19 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 光州FC vs 济州联?
The AI model leans 济州联 win at 45.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 25.4%, draw 28.9%, away 45.6%. Kickoff 2026-07-26 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.