周日203 · 2026-07-26 18:30
光州FC vs 济州联AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
济州联 win 49.3%
Confidence 19.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 21.0% | 29.7% | 49.3% | 负 | 19.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.056
Draw
0.030
Away
0.020
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 2.11 | 4.75 | — |
| Draw | 2.19 | 1.42 | 3.37 | — |
| Away | 4.22 | 2.74 | 2.03 | +EV |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 光州FC vs 济州联?
The AI model leans 济州联 win at 49.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 21.0%, draw 29.7%, away 49.3%. Kickoff 2026-07-26 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.