周日204 · 2026-07-26 18:30 · Finished
安养FC vs 江原FCAI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
江原FC win 38.0%
Confidence 1.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 36.5% | 25.4% | 38.0% | 负 | 1.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.041
Draw
0.032
Away
0.026
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.61 | 3.00 | 2.74 | +EV |
| Draw | — | — | 3.93 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.63 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 安养FC vs 江原FC?
The AI model leans 江原FC win at 38.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 36.5%, draw 25.4%, away 38.0%. Kickoff 2026-07-26 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.