周日202 · 2026-07-19 18:30 · Finished
安养FC vs 光州FCAI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
安养FC win 40.6%
Confidence 6.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 40.6% | 33.8% | 25.6% | 胜 | 6.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.023
Draw
0.027
Away
0.058
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.46 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.96 | — |
| Away | 2.63 | 1.71 | 3.90 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 安养FC vs 光州FC?
The AI model leans 安养FC win at 40.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.6%, draw 33.8%, away 25.6%. Kickoff 2026-07-19 18:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.