26122 · 2026-09-12 01:00 · Finished
赫根 vs 米亚尔比AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
赫根 win 54.2%
Confidence 31.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 54.2% | 23.1% | 22.8% | 胜 | 31.1% |
| 14-Match | 54.2% | 23.1% | 22.8% | 胜 | 31.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.045
Away
0.052
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.85 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.34 | — |
| Away | 3.42 | 2.22 | 4.39 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 赫根 vs 米亚尔比?
The AI model leans 赫根 win at 54.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 54.2%, draw 23.1%, away 22.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.