周一004 · 2026-09-08 01:00 · Finished
卡尔马 vs 佐加顿斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
佐加顿斯 win 53.1%
Confidence 25.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 19.5% | 27.5% | 53.1% | 负 | 25.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.051
Draw
0.033
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 1.85 | 5.13 | — |
| Draw | 3.79 | 2.46 | 3.64 | — |
| Away | 2.59 | 1.68 | 1.88 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 卡尔马 vs 佐加顿斯?
The AI model leans 佐加顿斯 win at 53.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 19.5%, draw 27.5%, away 53.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-08 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.