周日014 · 2026-08-16 22:30 · Finished
卡尔马 vs 哈马比AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-4（负）
AI Lean
哈马比 win 48.2%
Confidence 17.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 21.0% | 30.8% | 48.2% | 负 | 17.4% |
| 14-Match | 21.0% | 30.8% | 48.2% | 负 | 17.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.059
Draw
0.030
Away
0.023
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.75 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.25 | — |
| Away | 1.67 | 1.09 | 2.08 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 卡尔马 vs 哈马比?
The AI model leans 哈马比 win at 48.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 21.0%, draw 30.8%, away 48.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.