周六009 · 2026-08-15 21:00 · Finished
米亚尔比 vs 天狼星AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-3（胜）
AI Lean
米亚尔比 win 49.3%
Confidence 15.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 49.3% | 16.7% | 34.0% | 胜 | 15.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.029
Away
0.041
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 2.23 | 2.03 | +EV |
| Draw | — | — | 5.99 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.94 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 米亚尔比 vs 天狼星?
The AI model leans 米亚尔比 win at 49.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 49.3%, draw 16.7%, away 34.0%. Kickoff 2026-08-15 21:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.