周一002 · 2026-08-18 01:00 · Finished
赫根 vs 哈尔姆斯塔德AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
赫根 win 57.9%
Confidence 31.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 57.9% | 26.0% | 16.0% | 胜 | 31.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.046
Away
0.073
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 2.25 | 1.73 | — |
| Draw | 4.26 | 2.77 | 3.84 | — |
| Away | 2.09 | 1.36 | 6.23 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 赫根 vs 哈尔姆斯塔德?
The AI model leans 赫根 win at 57.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 57.9%, draw 26.0%, away 16.0%. Kickoff 2026-08-18 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.