周日015 · 2026-08-16 22:30 · Finished
哥德堡盖斯 vs 马尔默AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
Draw 41.9%
Confidence 5.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 21.9% | 41.9% | 36.2% | 平 | 5.7% |
| 14-Match | 21.9% | 41.9% | 36.2% | 平 | 5.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.028
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.56 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.39 | — |
| Away | 2.68 | 1.74 | 2.76 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 哥德堡盖斯 vs 马尔默?
The AI model leans Draw at 41.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 21.9%, draw 41.9%, away 36.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.