周日014 · 2026-08-09 22:30 · Finished
哥德堡 vs 卡尔马AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
卡尔马 win 52.1%
Confidence 27.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 23.0% | 24.9% | 52.1% | 负 | 27.2% |
| 14-Match | 23.0% | 24.9% | 52.1% | 负 | 27.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.030
Away
0.030
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 1.65 | 4.34 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.01 | — |
| Away | — | — | 1.92 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 哥德堡 vs 卡尔马?
The AI model leans 卡尔马 win at 52.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 23.0%, draw 24.9%, away 52.1%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.