周一002 · 2026-08-04 01:00 · Finished
哈尔姆斯塔德 vs 天狼星AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-2（负）
AI Lean
天狼星 win 57.1%
Confidence 29.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 15.6% | 27.3% | 57.1% | 负 | 29.8% |
| 14-Match | 15.6% | 27.3% | 57.1% | 负 | 29.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.073
Draw
0.043
Away
0.023
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.03 | 2.62 | 6.41 | — |
| Draw | 4.30 | 2.79 | 3.66 | — |
| Away | 1.92 | 1.25 | 1.75 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 哈尔姆斯塔德 vs 天狼星?
The AI model leans 天狼星 win at 57.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 15.6%, draw 27.3%, away 57.1%. Kickoff 2026-08-04 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.