26098 · 2026-08-01 21:00 · Finished
赫根 vs 卡尔马AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
卡尔马 win 39.3%
Confidence 0.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 38.8% | 21.9% | 39.3% | 负 | 0.4% |
| 14-Match | 38.8% | 21.9% | 39.3% | 负 | 0.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.032
Away
0.039
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.58 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.56 | — |
| Away | 2.27 | 1.48 | 2.55 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 赫根 vs 卡尔马?
The AI model leans 卡尔马 win at 39.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 38.8%, draw 21.9%, away 39.3%. Kickoff 2026-08-01 21:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.